Table of Contents
Why CBSplit reveals false EPC offers
The EPC illusion
EPC is one of the most powerful numbers in affiliate marketing.
A high EPC suggests:
* Strong demand * High profitability * Easy scaling
Affiliates chase high EPC offers aggressively.
But EPC can lie.
CBSplit was built to expose when it does.
EPC is an average, not a guarantee
EPC blends performance across:
* Multiple traffic sources * Different buyer intents * Varying refund behavior * Mixed subscription outcomes
A high average can hide unstable segments.
CBSplit breaks EPC into outcome-level behavior.
False EPC is driven by front-end spikes
Some offers inflate EPC through:
* High initial payouts * Aggressive upsells * Heavy retry recovery * Short-term promotional bursts
These mechanisms increase early revenue.
They do not guarantee durable revenue.
CBSplit evaluates what remains after time passes.
Refund-adjusted EPC tells a different story
High EPC offers often reveal:
* Elevated refund rates * Refund clustering by traffic type * High support friction * Increased processor scrutiny
When refunds are reconciled, true earnings shrink.
CBSplit recalculates EPC after refunds and rebills settle.
Retry-dependent revenue inflates EPC
Some offers rely heavily on:
* Soft-decline retries * Multiple payment attempts * Fallback billing flows
These mechanisms boost approval counts.
They also introduce fragility.
CBSplit distinguishes clean approvals from retry-driven approvals.
Subscription churn reshapes EPC over time
EPC calculated from front-end revenue ignores:
* First rebill failure * Early churn spikes * Subscription cancellation waves
Two offers with similar EPC today can diverge sharply after rebills.
CBSplit tracks lifecycle-adjusted performance.
Traffic-source variance hides inside EPC
An offer may show strong EPC overall while:
* Performing poorly on certain geographies * Producing refunds from specific ad angles * Generating low retention from certain traffic types
Blended EPC hides these weaknesses.
CBSplit preserves segmentation.
Why false EPC persists
False EPC persists because:
* It is easy to calculate * It is fast to compare * It looks objective * It supports quick decisions
But speed often sacrifices accuracy.
CBSplit sacrifices immediacy for outcome truth.
